I think you both have some points.

First of all, as with most other things, it shouldn't be expected that the correlation be 1 to 1 before you can say that one thing causes another. As much as the tobacco industry would like for us to think that way, the fact is cigarettes do cause cancer despite the undeniable fact that not everyone who smokes gets lung cancer. Sure, if you wanted to get very technical, you can't say cigarettes cause cancer you can only say they increase the risk of certain kinds of cancers; but for all practical purposes, that distinction is only of interest to researchers.

If it can be shown that childhood sexual encounters with adults have a statistically significant positive correlation with future pedophilia and sufficient research has been done to eliminate other factors, it is possible to make the claim that childhood sexual encounters with adults can cause pedophilia.

As for the hypothetical question posed by Rainboy, my answer would be that he is right, repeated sexual assaults from the age of 6 to 10 are not going to have any effect on the child's future sexual orientation. Sexual identity is hardwired far earlier than school age, if not at birth, and nothing that occurs that late in life is likely to change the individual's sexual orientation. Now, that's not to say that the person will not go through a period of sexual confusion or that their sexuality will not be harmed by the experience; it wouldn't be surprising to find that such a person has a very difficult time trusting anyone physically and might have a warped perception of sex, or the opposite, they might view their body as something to be exchanged for emotional gratification, but they won't become something other than what they are (gay, straight, bisexual, pedosexual, or whatever).

Ultimately, however, this all may be moot anyway. It looks from the numbers so far, that the ratio at cblf is no different from the ratio in the population at large.